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RISK ASSESSMENT ASSIGNMENT

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Background.

A village of about 4,000 has become established on a site where once there was a chemical plant producing pesticides.  These families are from a secluded religious sect who support themselves through subsistence farming operations, growing their own crops and raising their own chickens for meat and eggs.  They have drilled shallow wells, from which they obtain their own water. 

This year it was found that much of the food and water being consumed by these families are contaminated by the residual chemicals left by the former plant.  Eight chemicals in particular have been identified and the concentrations in soil and water have been shown in table 1.  You are assisting with a risk assessment for the families for the exposure up to this point.   They have been moved to a safe piece of land, but the concern is for the exposure up to this point.  Assume a median life exposure in this case to be 30 years.  Also assume ALL food and water has up to this time originated from this site, and that all vegetables, grains, and crops grown in the soil are subject to an uptake of twice the concentration that is in the soil (bioconcentration factor of 2), and this has already been included in the calculation of the intake (column 6).  The chronic daily intake calculations are shown as tables 4 & 5.  

Complete table 3B (non-carcinogens in foods grown in the soil), and complete BOTH summary tables (2C and 3C).  Then characterize the risk and hazard index by answering the following questions:

1.  What would be the expected number of additional cancer deaths from this community due to these food and water exposures

 

2.  LIST the chemicals that SEPARATELY exceed the E-01 de minimis level for carcinogens EITHER IN FOOD OR WATER.  IF these listed chemicals were all hypothetically removed, recalculate the total carcinogenic risk from the remaining exposures (food and water combined); does it still exceed de minimis?

 

3. This is not practical, so the following options are considered.  Calculate risk and H.I. for each option, and indicate the safest (lowest risk) option

               A:   Replace the soil used to grow food but water continues to be used

               B:   Cut off the shallow wells and supply water from a (safe) deep artesian well.

               C:   Remove the DDT group (DDT, DDE, & dieldrin) from food and water, using a readily available

                        ion-exchange process. 

4.  What is the total Hazard Index from the original eight chemicals?

5   Does it exceed the "Action level"?  If so, by how many times?

6.  Now assume that because of the proposed remedial option you have chosen in #3, re-calculate the HI.  In other words, if you have chosen to remove certain chemicals to reduce the carcinogenic risk, these will be removed from the non-carcinogenic list as well.   [Note: the first version of this question erroneously had the word "not" before "...be removed".  It was an error.    

7. Considering for this question ONLY Thallium Sulphate, what would the concentration of this substance in water need to be such that the H.I. from thallium sulphate does not exceed 1.00?

_______________________________________________________________________________________________

[#8 and 9 are NOT RELATED TO THE ABOVE CALCULATIONS]

8.   Propylene oxide has been found in air at a concentration of 60 micrograms per cubic metre of air.    Carry out a "lifetime" (70 yr) assessment of this exposure considering both carcinogenic and non-carcinogenic effects.  Calculate the risk and hazard index, and characterize both in terms of appropriate actions.  Assume the receptors (exposed people) to be full-time residents of community just downwind from the source.  Assume a sedentary lifestyle (assume respiration of 0.85 cu m air/hr) and that they seldom leave the premises.  What are your recommendations if the residents are to remain at the premises?   Note: your single solution would need to address both carcinogenic and non-carcinogenic exposure.

9.   You are advising a northern First Nations community about consuming fish that contains organic mercury at a concentration of 100 micrograms mercury per kg.   Currently each person consumes a mean of 420 g fish a day.    What are your recommendations? [Use 'methyl mercury' data from the IRIS database]

 

  

 

These tables can also be downloaded as an EXCEL file here

Table 1 WATER SOIL  
SITE FINDINGS CONC CONC  
  mg/L mg/kg  
Arsenic 6.20E-03 3.20E-04  
Dieldrin 1.00E-05 1.20E-03  
Chlorobenzene 9.00E-04 5.00E-04  
DDE 2.00E-03 3.00E-04  
DDT 3.00E-04 5.00E-04  
Isophorone 2.40E-03 2.00E-04  
Pentachlorophenol 2.00E-04 3.00E-04  
Thallium sulphate 5.00E-03 2.00E-03  
       
                     
Table CARCINOGENS 1 2 3 4 5 6 7      
2a WATER WATER CPF TS TS TS I RISK      
    MEAN     % ACC% C x         
    CONC         1.22E-02        
  Chem mg/L (mg/kg.d)-1       mg/kg.d        
  Chlorobenzene 9.00E-04 ND                
  Thallium sulphate 5.00E-03 ND                
  DDE 2.00E-03 3.40E-01 6.80E-04 69.57% 69.57% 2.45E-05 8.33E-06  

(BOTH

 PATHWAYS)
  Dieldrin 1.00E-05 1.60E+01 1.60E-04 16.37% 85.94% 1.22E-07 1.96E-06     RISK
  DDT 3.00E-04 3.40E-01 1.02E-04 10.44% 96.37% 3.67E-06 1.25E-06   Dieldrin 2.37E-04
  Pentachlorophenol 2.00E-04 1.20E-01 2.40E-05 2.46% 98.83% 2.45E-06 2.94E-07   DDE 8.33E-06
  Isophorone 2.40E-03 4.10E-03 9.84E-06 1.01% 99.84% 2.94E-05 1.20E-07   DDT 1.25E-06
  Arsenic 6.20E-03 2.60E-04 1.61E-06 0.16% 100.00% 7.59E-05 1.97E-08   Pentachl 1.13E-05
        9.77E-04 100.00%     1.20E-05   Isophor 1.31E-07
                    arsenic 2.08E-08
                    TOTAL  
                     
Table  CARCINOGENS 1 2 3 4 5 6 7      
2b SOIL SOIL CPF TS TS TS I RISK      
    MEAN     % ACC% C x 2bcf x        
    CONC         6.12E-03        
  Chem mg/kgs (mg/kg.d)-1       mg/kg.d        
  Chlorobenzene 5.00E-04 ND                
  Thallium sulphate 2.00E-03 ND                
  Dieldrin 1.20E-03 1.60E+01 1.92E-02 95.5165% 95.5165% 1.47E-05 2.35E-04      
  Pentachlorophenol 3.00E-04 3.00E+00 9.00E-04 4.4773% 99.9938% 3.67E-06 1.10E-05      
  Isophorone 2.00E-04 4.10E-03 8.20E-07 0.0041% 99.9979% 2.45E-06 1.00E-08      
  DDT 5.00E-04 5.00E-04 2.50E-07 0.0012% 99.9991% 6.12E-06 3.06E-09      
  DDE 3.00E-04 3.00E-04 9.00E-08 0.0004% 99.9996% 3.67E-06 1.10E-09      
  Arsenic 3.20E-04 2.60E-04 8.32E-08 0.0004% 100.0000% 3.92E-06 1.02E-09      
        2.01E-02 100.0000%     2.46E-04      
                       
                     
                     
NON- CARCINOGENS 1 2 3 4 5 6 7      
Table  WATER WATER RfD TS TS TS I H.INDEX      
 3a   MEAN     % ACC% C x        
    CONC         2.86E-02        
  Chem mg/L mg/kg.d       mg/kg.d        
  DDE 2.00E-03 ND                
  Thallium sulphate 5.00E-03 8.00E-05 6.25E+01 74.38% 74.38% 1.43E-04 1.7857   (BOTH  PATHWAYS)
  Arsenic 6.20E-03 3.00E-04 2.07E+01 24.59% 98.97% 1.77E-04 0.5905     H.Index
  DDT 3.00E-04 5.00E-04 6.00E-01 0.71% 99.69% 8.57E-06 0.0171   Thallium s  
  Dieldrin 1.00E-05 5.00E-05 2.00E-01 0.24% 99.92% 2.86E-07 0.0057   Dieldrin  
  Chlorobenzene 9.00E-04 2.00E-02 4.50E-02 0.05% 99.98% 2.57E-05 0.0013   arsenic  
  Isophorone 2.40E-03 2.00E-01 1.20E-02 0.01% 99.99% 6.86E-05 0.0003   DDT  
  Pentachlorophenol 2.00E-04 3.00E-02 6.67E-03 0.01% 100.00% 5.71E-06 0.0002   Chloroben  
        8.40E+01 100.00%     2.4009   Pentachl  
                    Isophor  
                    TOTAL  
                     
NON- CARCINOGENS 1 2 3 4 5 6 7      
Table SOIL SOIL RfD TS TS TS I H.INDEX      
 3b   MEAN     % ACC% C x 2bcf x        
    CONC                  
  Chem mg/kgs mg/kgbw.d       mg/kg.d        
  DDE 3.00E-04 ND                
  Thallium sulphate 2.00E-03 8.00E-05 2.50E+01 48.92% 48.92%          
  Dieldrin 1.20E-03 5.00E-05 2.40E+01 46.96% 95.89%          
  DDT 5.00E-04 5.00E-04 1.00E+00 1.96% 97.84%          
  Arsenic 3.20E-04 3.00E-04 1.07E+00 2.09% 99.93%          
  Chlorobenzene 5.00E-04 2.00E-02 2.50E-02 0.05% 99.98%          
  Pentachlorophenol 3.00E-04 3.00E-02 1.00E-02 0.02% 100.00%          
  Isophorone 2.00E-04 2.00E-01 1.00E-03 0.00% 100.00%          
        5.11E+01 100.00%            
                       
                     

 

 

 

 Table 4                      
  assumptions                    
  CR (L/d) 2 L/d INTAKE  C CR (L/d) EF (d/y) ED y      
  EF (d/y) 365 d/y CARC   BW AT        
  ED y 30 y WATER              
  BW 70 kg   IC = C x 0.0122449 L/kg.d        
  AT 25550 d                
                       
  assumptions                    
  CR (kg/d) 1 kg/d INTAKE  C CR (L/d) EF (d/y) ED y      
  EF (d/y) 365 d/y CARC    BW AT        
  ED y 30 y FOOD              
  BW 70 kg   IC = C x 0.0061224 kgf/kgbw.d        
  AT 25550 d                
                       
 Table 5                      
  assumptions                    
  CR (L/d) 2 L/d INTAKE C CR (L/d) EF (d/y) ED y      
  EF (d/y) 365 d/y NON-CARC   BW AT        
  ED y 30 y WATER              
  BW 70 kg   In = C x 0.0285714 L/kg.d        
  AT 10950 d                
                       
                       
  assumptions                    
  CR (kg/d) 1 kg/d INTAKE  C CR (L/d) EF (d/y) ED y      
  EF (d/y) 365 d/y NON-CARC   BW AT        
  ED y 30 y FOOD              
  BW 70 kg   In = C x 0.0142857 kgf/kgbw.d        
  AT 10950 d